Alice's adventures in factorland: Three blunders that plague factor investing

RD Arnott, CR Harvey, V Kalesnik… - Available at SSRN …, 2019 - papers.ssrn.com
Factor investing has failed to live up to its many promises. Its success is compromised by
three problems that are often underappreciated by investors. First, many investors develop …

On mobility load balancing for LTE systems

R Kwan, R Arnott, R Paterson… - 2010 IEEE 72nd …, 2010 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
In this paper we present simulation results to demonstrate that a simple distributed intra
frequency load balancing algorithm based on automatic adjustment of handover thresholds can …

How Can'Smart Beta'Go Horribly Wrong?

RD Arnott, N Beck, V Kalesnik… - Available at SSRN …, 2016 - papers.ssrn.com
Factor returns, net of changes in valuation levels, are much lower than recent performance
suggests. Value-add can be structural, and thus reliably repeatable, or situational—a product …

Reports of value's death may be greatly exaggerated

RD Arnott, CR Harvey, V Kalesnik… - Financial Analysts …, 2021 - Taylor & Francis
Value investing, as defined by the Fama–French high book-to-market minus low book-to-market
(HML) factor, has underperformed growth investing since 2007, producing a drawdown …

What risk premium is “normal”?

RD Arnott, PL Bernstein - Financial Analysts Journal, 2002 - Taylor & Francis
The goal of this article is an estimate of the objective forward-looking US equity risk premium
relative to bonds through history—specifically, since 1802. For correct evaluation, such a …

A backtesting protocol in the era of machine learning

RD Arnott, CR Harvey, H Markowitz - Available at SSRN 3275654, 2018 - papers.ssrn.com
Abstract Machine learning offers a set of powerful tools that holds considerable promise for
investment management. As with most quantitative applications in finance, the danger of …

Timing'Smart Beta'Strategies? Of Course! Buy Low, Sell High!

RD Arnott, N Beck, V Kalesnik - Of Course, 2016 - papers.ssrn.com
In our paper—“How Can ‘Smart Beta’Go Horribly Wrong?”—we show that performance
chasing can be as dangerous in smart beta as it is in stock selection, fund selection, or asset …

[BOOK][B] Trepanation

R Arnott, S Finger, C Smith, R Arnott - 2003 - api.taylorfrancis.com
… The idea for this much-needed colloquium was conceived by Robert Arnott of the Department
of Ancient History and Archaeology (now of the Centre for the History of Medicine) of the …

Fundamental indexation

RD Arnott, J Hsu, P Moore - Financial Analysts Journal, 2005 - Taylor & Francis
A trillion-dollar industry is based on investing in or benchmarking to capitalization-weighted
indexes, even though the finance literature rejects the mean–variance efficiency of such …

Surprise! Higher dividends= higher earnings growth

RD Arnott, CS Asness - Financial Analysts Journal, 2003 - Taylor & Francis
We investigate whether dividend policy, as observed in the payout ratio of the US equity
market portfolio, forecasts future aggregate earnings growth. The historical evidence strongly …